Thursday, November 19, 2020

Day 13: Tossups

Just how bad were the polls in 2020? The "experts" listed 27 house races as "toss ups," and Republicans won every single one of them. None of the polls projected this would happen, and many of them projected the exact opposite. One of these was Don Bacon's seat here in Nebraska's second district. He had a rematch with self-proclaimed socialist Kara Eastman who ran against him in 2018, losing by just 2%. Well, two years later, and despite outspending Bacon by a million dollars or so, Kara lost by an even wider margin.

Why? We may be asking that question for years, but from what I saw, there was actual, legitimate "vote splitting," which Democrats put off by Eastman and her campaign and switching their vote for a moderate Republican like Bacon — while still not voting for Trump. Is it possible the moderates are going to be the real winners here, or did they prevail only because the Democrats went so far to the left? If it's the latter, somebody needs to tell the Democrat party, but they clearly haven't gotten the message yet.

Related: ‘Experts’ Listed 27 House Races As Toss-Ups. Republicans Won All 27



No comments:

Post a Comment